“As was obvious, the experience of my government ends up here: tomorrow (today, ed), I will gather the Council of ministers, I’ll thank my colleagues and ascend to the Quirinal, where I shall present the resignation in the hands of the president Mattarella”. The agenda of the post-Referendum, at least in the immediate, it takes its cue from these words, spoken last night by the premier at a press conference convened to comment on the defeat at the ballot box referendum. The decision of the premier opens the door to many possible scenarios, including a phase of “serenity and mutual respect” between the political forces as called today by the president of the R epublic, Sergio Mattarella, to enable the institutions to respect “commitments and deadlines”.
Mattarella: now institutions to respect commitments and deadlines
The line of the Quirinal hill, back in this time of high political uncertainty, is summarized in a declaration of the same Mattarella widespread at the end of the morning from the Quirinal palace after the informal meeting had this morning with the president of the Council in the aftermath of the result the referendum. “The high turnout at the vote, recorded in the referendum yesterday, we read in the note – is the testimony of a solid democracy, a Country passionate, capable of active participation. Italy is a large Country with lots of positive energy inside. Also for this reason that the political climate, while in the necessary dialectic, is marked by serenity and mutual respect. You are in front of us commitments and deadlines to which the institutions will have to ensure in any case compliance, ensuring that responses to the level of the problems of the moment”.
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the Cdm is expected in the afternoon
After the face-to-face with the head of State the president of the Council will gather in the early afternoon the ministers for storing its government, installed by little more than a thousand days. With an eye to the markets, which don’t seem particularly thrilled: in the morning, the reaction of the markets has been volatile in the opening, but contained. Piazza Affari has opened down 1.8%, but then it lifts mid-morning. High volatility on banks, which continue in the swing after an opening drop: down Unicredit, Banco Popular and Popular in Milan, while the Mps contains the losses. The spread stabilizes to below elevation 170 points after a flare-up initial. After the meeting of the Council of minister, the premier will return to the Hill, followed by the farewell by putting the mandate in the hands of the president of the Republic.
Government in the saddle for the"ordinary directors"
At that point, the focus will shift on the choices of the Quirinal. According to the institutional practice, Mattarella will accept the resignation of Renzi, asking him to remain in office to follow the routine. It is not excluded that the head of State will ask the premier resigning to bring to the final approval of the measures which are more urgent and necessary, as the Budget law (tomorrow, the Senate will start the second reading of the parliamentary; the final approval must take place by 31 December). In his farewell speech, the same Renzi has announced that in the coming days, his government “will be working to complete the process of a good the law of Stability and to ensure maximum commitment to the territories affected by the earthquake”.
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Consultations in view
tomorrow you should then open the stage of consultations: Mattarella begin a series of meetings at the Quirinale with the leaders of the political forces represented in Parliament to assess whether or not there is a majority of mps can support a new government. At the centre of the meetings with the delegations of the leaders of the party and of the parliamentary group leaders, especially, the name can premier, on which converge a parliamentary majority, and the minimum programme of a government post-Renzi. On the basis of the consultations, the Hill has two roads to overcome the political crisis triggered by the resignation of Renzi: to entrust the task to a technician or a politician capable of taking the majority in the Parliament, or dissolve the Chambers and call for early elections, putting an end to the XVIIma legislature.
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the positions of The parties on the after vote
The main forces of opposition to the government Renzi, after the resignation, invoke the compact to the polls. M5S, Lega, and FdI are asking that they be conducted quickly to the general election. Cautious the position of Forza Italia, which does not exclude even the hypothesis of a new government. They do not see the elections near, not even the members of the minority internal to the Pd, and the exponents of the center-deployed to the No, including Massimo D’alema: for they were not necessary for the resignation by Renzi and still need a new government for a new electoral law.
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transition Government "technical" or "political"
Open the consultations, the scenario will be applied necessarily to the orientation that will mature in the next few hours in the secretariats of the political parties and in Parliament. Where the Pd, whose secretary is still, Matteo Renzi, has today the majority: absolute (to the Room) and the relative (to the Senate, together with the alfaniani Area popular). Tomorrow the party of the prime minister has called a meeting of the national board of directors, from which you should understand the political line of the dem after the outcome of the referendum. From the moment that Renzi has in fact excluded the hypothesis of a reincarico, it is possible to arrive at a government "policy" guided by an exponent that is not renziano of the Pd (with Dario Franceschini at pole position), or a government "technical", perhaps guided by the minister of the Economy Pier Carlo Padoan to reassure markets and ensure stab ility in a transition phase.
node of the electoral law
in Addition to "who" would guide the government, the consultations will also serve to establish "what" you should do the new executive. In addition to the priorities of the Budget law there is, above all, to put his hand to the electoral law, inevitable step in the views of early elections in the talks at the Quirinal with the political forces should not to the emergence of a government capable of receive a political mandate full. Able, that is, to arrive at the expiry of the parliamentary term in 2018. At the moment, in the event of early elections in the immediate, there is the risk that the vote does not give clear directions and a stable majority in the two Rooms. With the victory of the no in fact, for the election of senators, and survives the "Consultellum" (in practice an election law proportional, the result of the judgment of the Consulta on the "Porcellum"), while for the election of deputies there is the Italicum, the electoral system, the double-shift correction of the majority majority premium. On this, however, hangs on the decision of the constitutional Court on the questions of legitimacy raised by different courts.
up divided on changes to the electoral rules
In this scenario, the political forces are divided on whether or not to change the electoral rules. In his speech the night Renzi has explained that now it is up to the winners of the up on make a proposal, while the minority Pd, Massimo D’alema, has meso guard by the vote immediate: “Go vote right now would be irresponsible because the council has yet to rule on the Italicum”. To Cricket the problem is resolved, leaving the Italicum to the election of the Chamber and electing the Senate by applying “corrective measures for the governance of the Consultellum”. The leader of the Carroccio Matteo Salvini tip on the vote immediately, while Silvio Berlusconi in the days he indicated another path: to establish a table “together with other forces that keep this Country’s heartland” in order to arrive to a law of proportional representation. On the other side of the arch in the parli ament, even the Italian Left, with the parent company, Arturo Scotto asks him to write a new electoral law and then go to vote.
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